Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCS: 48 · v1

Severe Weather in United States

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 1 minute ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

2 other detections within 20 km in the last 24 hours, the nearest 22 km from here.

This alert expired on 13 July 2026 at 02:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 6th strongest of the 49 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 12 July 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 3 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued July 12 at 6:04PM MST until July 12 at 7:45PM MST by NWS Tucson AZ

Urban PEI: 816,713 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.

Nearby, since 12 July 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 48 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)48 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.80/1
Coordinates32.1379, -111.4017
Nearest CityDrexel Heights (35 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)816.7K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-07-13T01:04:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Flash Flood Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.4c732c7b2e0aa0f111e293ac8191bc60

Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-07-13T01:04:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-07-13T01:50:35.684Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
85
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
80
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventFlash Flood Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescPinal, AZ; Pima, AZ
HeadlineFlash Flood Warning issued July 12 at 6:04PM MST until July 12 at 7:45PM MST by NWS Tucson AZ
Expires2026-07-12T19:45:00-07:00
SenderNameNWS Tucson AZ
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount5
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.4c732c7b2e0aa0f111e293ac8191bc6036abed24.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.56ebe599f1efdbaef4965aaba55a25d08eb27d76.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.6437179201e9a83a7e860281eef35be93c74b936.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.99bc2d9b35c38d93c2014859628b7e795a18583b.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0e11e6d21258776f2f0eff559c97fea88d8a0302.001.1"]

Safety Information

During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

Follow this area

Review the area, threshold and delivery channel in your account.

Want to know when something happens in this area?

Share:XLinkedIn