Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 39

Severe Weather in United States

BradfordUnited StatesNOAA

This alert expired on 3 August 2026 at 03:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 2nd strongest of the 55 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 3 July 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 5 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued August 2 at 9:26PM EDT until August 2 at 11:30PM EDT by NWS Binghamton NY

An estimated 55,016 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 3 July 2026

How we know

Confirmed by 10 independent sources, including NOAA.

Our own score for this event is 39 out of 100, at 91 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)39 / 100
Our confidence91%
Coordinates41.7020, -76.2150
Nearest CityBack Mountain (44 km)
Population Exposed55.0K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-08-03T01:26:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Flash Flood Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.999d9f4056f92fa2682cd2aee596d127

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
55
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventFlash Flood Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescBroome, NY; Chenango, NY; Susquehanna, PA; Sullivan, PA
HeadlineFlash Flood Warning issued August 2 at 9:26PM EDT until August 2 at 11:30PM EDT by NWS Binghamton NY
Expires2026-08-02T23:30:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Binghamton NY
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount2
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.999d9f4056f92fa2682cd2aee596d1275e314f6b.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.7cdf7db5c0fd308810f096e564f6f0fc09a41250.001.1"]
Iem TypeSummaryF
Iem City2 SE Forksville
Iem CountySullivan
Iem StatePA
Iem WfoCTP
Iem RemarkWater over roadway by PA Route 154 and Worlds End Road.
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_F_41.610_-76.450_1785718020000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1785718020000,"latitude":41.61,"longitude":-76.45},{"id":"iem_F_41.510_-76.550_1785719040000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1785719040000,"latitude":41.51,"longitude":-76.55},{"id":"iem_R_42.080_-76.050_1785718560000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1785718560000,"latitude":42.08,"longitude":-76.05},{"id":"iem_R_42.120_-76.070_1785715500000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1785715500000,"latitude":42.12,"longitude":-76.07},{"id":"iem_F_41.410_-76.580_1785717780000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1785717780000,"latitude":41.41,"longitude":-76.58},{"id":"iem_F_41.540_-76.360_1785719160000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1785719160000,"latitude":41.54,"longitude":-76.36},{"id":"iem_R_41.590_-76.350_1785719520000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1785719520000,"latitude":41.59,"longitude":-76.35},{"id":"iem_F_41.530_-76.380_1785717900000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1785717900000,"latitude":41.53,"longitude":-76.38},{"id":"iem_F_41.470_-76.580_1785720900000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1785720900000,"latitude":41.47,"longitude":-76.58}]

Safety Information

During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 39/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.