Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 7 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
15 other detections within 20 km in the last 24 hours, the nearest 4 km from here.
This alert expired on 13 July 2026 at 02:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 5th strongest of the 101 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 12 May 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 6 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued July 12 at 4:30PM MST until July 12 at 7:30PM MST by NWS Tucson AZ
An estimated 813,690 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 12 May 2026
- September 12, 2026 · score 41 · 4.8 km
- July 25, 2026 · score 41 · 6.5 km
- September 12, 2026 · score 41 · 7.5 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 48 out of 100, at 80 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 48 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 80% |
| Coordinates | 32.0193, -110.8989 |
| Nearest City | Sahuarita (9 km) |
| Population Exposed | 813.7K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-07-12T23:30:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Flash Flood Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a7ab61a61b61f10e6933cdb8215618d9 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flash Flood Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Pima, AZ; Pima, AZ; Santa Cruz, AZ |
| Headline | Flash Flood Warning issued July 12 at 4:30PM MST until July 12 at 7:30PM MST by NWS Tucson AZ |
| Expires | 2026-07-12T19:30:00-07:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Tucson AZ |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 3 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a7ab61a61b61f10e6933cdb8215618d9f0410a3d.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b0400cf632a8b4f741d24287eecfff28722d5604.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.427c3aec8233cb36319b21287d8483d31ec9df17.001.1"] |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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