Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCS: 43 · v1

Severe Weather near Republic

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 13 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 26 June 2026 at 04:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 15th strongest of the 153 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 27 April 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 17 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued June 25 at 5:44PM CDT until June 25 at 11:15PM CDT by NWS Springfield MO

Urban PEI: 226,297 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.

Nearby, since 27 April 2026

How we know

6 recorded sources include NOAA; independence is not established by this count.

Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)43 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.87/1
Coordinates37.1525, -93.3839
Nearest CityRepublic (9 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)226.3K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-06-25T22:44:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Flash Flood Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.af22dbd95197bda983558c047d970080

Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-06-25T22:44:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-06-25T22:53:35.718Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
70
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
80
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventFlash Flood Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescDade, MO; Dallas, MO; Greene, MO; Lawrence, MO; Polk, MO; Barton, MO; Cedar, MO; Dade, MO; Polk, MO; Boone, AR; Marion, AR
HeadlineFlash Flood Warning issued June 25 at 5:44PM CDT until June 25 at 11:15PM CDT by NWS Springfield MO
Expires2026-06-25T23:15:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS Springfield MO
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount3
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.af22dbd95197bda983558c047d970080e7ac5a88.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d25a4622c0ec0a1f20c9286c0e8b5dac7776bfce.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d2a52ff04ba61e026858797bd90bf1d9824e3415.001.1"]
Iem TypeSummaryF
Iem CityAsh Grove
Iem CountyGreene
Iem StateMO
Iem WfoSGF
Iem RemarkMODOT en route to close the Calhoun and Boone street area in Ash Grove due to flooding. One foot water over the road.
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_F_37.320_-93.570_1782425040000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1782425040000,"latitude":37.32,"longitude":-93.57},{"id":"iem_D_37.480_-93.270_1782421680000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1782421680000,"latitude":37.48,"longitude":-93.27},{"id":"iem_F_37.340_-93.330_1782424140000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1782424140000,"latitude":37.34,"longitude":-93.33},{"id":"iem_H_37.460_-93.280_1782421560000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1782421560000,"latitude":37.46,"longitude":-93.28},{"id":"iem_F_37.320_-93.580_1782426000000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1782426000000,"latitude":37.32,"longitude":-93.58}]

Safety Information

During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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