Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 6 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 29 July 2026 at 00:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 9th strongest of the 201 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 17 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 9 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued July 28 at 5:41PM EDT until July 28 at 8:15PM EDT by NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC
Urban PEI: 281,496 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.
Nearby, since 17 March 2026
- September 4, 2026 · score 37 · 6.7 km
- March 17, 2026 · score 43 · 7.3 km
- August 7, 2026 · score 43 · 9.0 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 43 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.79/1 |
| Coordinates | 40.6455, -75.3498 |
| Nearest City | Bethlehem (2 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 281.5K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-07-28T21:41:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Flash Flood Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b2ef490d7456a97db8689df5178d5608 |
Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-07-28T21:41:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-07-28T21:51:14.571Z. Material modification: not recorded.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flash Flood Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Anne Arundel, MD; Baltimore, MD; Baltimore City, MD; Lancaster, PA; Lebanon, PA; Dauphin, PA; Lebanon, PA and 9 more areas |
| Headline | Flash Flood Warning issued July 28 at 5:41PM EDT until July 28 at 8:15PM EDT by NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC |
| Expires | 2026-07-28T20:15:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 12 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b2ef490d7456a97db8689df5178d56088d560b42.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.22dc057b066f11c83d2f6a9a73df0a0efd2bbe6a.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f3b97fe7b93a790e8263a204089ee5061c60f0b3.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ed438f30656d9dcfdf4af08b09097679ad03df2b.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.85341f45fc83882cc3b3c67d5f62dcd58755e773.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.57a797abddba236606d0d9da399699b76ed24e34.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.64240b0838cccf7cc7d3001fbdd19abf76754c55.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e35f64b8e86834e7099247e3d1cfc242e1dea297.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.41ebb9a193ad9b9d28aeb99a347d8f8b9dad8479.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.5cd333f6aa53845e788b72649023d4d9c77113f1.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.fe9231b1b337cf11b3671c465c45f39813a31eba.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b929891b078f68422ed537047be87dce1afa198d.001.1"] |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Review the area, threshold and delivery channel in your account.
Want to know when something happens near Bethlehem?