Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 43

Severe Weather near Waco

McLennanUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 5 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

One other detection within 20 km in the last 24 hours, 11 km from here.

This alert expired on 15 June 2026 at 03:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 8 recorded within 20 km of this point since 29 April 2026 — 3 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 4 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued June 14 at 9:14PM CDT until June 14 at 10:00PM CDT by NWS Fort Worth TX

An estimated 148,080 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 29 April 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 81 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)43 / 100
Our confidence81%
Coordinates31.6242, -97.3552
Nearest CityWaco (21 km)
Population Exposed148.1K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-06-15T02:14:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Flash Flood Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.c1eaa53d39adcd570ac58a2659e42fb0

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
70
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventFlash Flood Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescAnderson, TX; Henderson, TX; McLennan, TX; Bell, TX; Coryell, TX; Falls, TX; McLennan, TX and 1 more areas
HeadlineFlash Flood Warning issued June 14 at 9:14PM CDT until June 14 at 10:00PM CDT by NWS Fort Worth TX
Expires2026-06-14T22:00:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS Fort Worth TX
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount4
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.c1eaa53d39adcd570ac58a2659e42fb0f2168a96.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ab3905847dc72d85777f4738d73e9f084b36f6bd.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.8bfcac6e7f627f9745b4219399f9ad1dc47a2321.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.defcc810072bfbbfb3ce7462a1a8c9657129350f.001.1"]

Safety Information

During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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