Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCS: 16 · v4 (historical)

Severe Weather in United States

CoconinoUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 22 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

2 other detections within 20 km in the last 24 hours, the nearest 4 km from here.

This alert expired on 13 September 2026 at 20:37 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 6th strongest of the 9 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 12 August 2026. The last comparable one was on 20 August 2026.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued September 13 at 1:27PM MST until September 13 at 1:30PM MST by NWS Flagstaff AZ

Nearby, since 12 August 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 16 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v4. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)16 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.61/1
Coordinates35.1537, -112.4423
Nearest CityPrescott Valley (61 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)0 within 50 km
Impact Tierminor
Timestamp2026-09-13T20:27:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.c4a6bf086172b14283e1acd5c7c45750718ccc63.001.1

Physical priority index · v4 (historical). Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-09-13T20:27:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-09-13T20:28:43.395Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
0
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
18
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventFlash Flood Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescCoconino, AZ; Yavapai, AZ
HeadlineFlash Flood Warning issued September 13 at 1:27PM MST until September 13 at 1:30PM MST by NWS Flagstaff AZ
Expires2026-09-13T13:37:00-07:00
SenderNameNWS Flagstaff AZ
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount3
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.c4a6bf086172b14283e1acd5c7c45750718ccc63.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ef08b637b9d5e5dedd898b68469cb9f97ad39065.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.2a0986dd3b647d901c0addae1a2beb8fe1363ea3.001.1"]

Safety Information

During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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