Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 52

Severe Weather near Fairview Heights

St. ClairUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 18 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 19 May 2026 at 02:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 4th strongest of the 54 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 16 May 2026. 2 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued May 18 at 3:05PM CDT until May 18 at 9:15PM CDT by NWS St Louis MO

An estimated 1,150,409 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 15 March 2026

How we know

Confirmed by 2 independent sources, including NOAA.

Our own score for this event is 52 out of 100, at 84 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)52 / 100
Our confidence84%
Coordinates38.5539, -90.0672
Nearest CityFairview Heights (8 km)
Population Exposed1.2M within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-05-18T20:05:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Flash Flood Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f51d25858704af1517e0bba1e5bf5148

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
100
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventFlash Flood Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescCrawford, MO; Franklin, MO; Gasconade, MO; Warren, MO; Bond, IL; Clinton, IL; Fayette, IL; Madison, IL; Marion, IL; St. Clair, IL; Washington, IL; Clay, IL and 3 more areas
HeadlineFlash Flood Warning issued May 18 at 3:05PM CDT until May 18 at 9:15PM CDT by NWS St Louis MO
Expires2026-05-18T21:15:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS St Louis MO
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount6
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f51d25858704af1517e0bba1e5bf5148f039ac5f.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0fc10db8c81f7b7f61965864aea49e59a5f36434.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.913a8a86c94d4e638a15dcce4e3219a27fb4b386.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.981763280e670dafdad02306926ecdd4a788a568.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.acb5c63cf3a4cdea24b1f0e617f2449d79c4996e.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.beb0d6cf72dd8898856703d54fc25b6c3cdbd28a.001.1"]
Iem TypeSummaryH
Iem Magnitude0.7
Iem UnitInch
Iem City1 NNE Oakville
Iem CountySt. Louis
Iem StateMO
Iem WfoLSX
Iem RemarkNWS employee reported dime-size hail.
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_H_38.460_-90.310_1779120300000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779120300000,"latitude":38.46,"longitude":-90.31}]

Safety Information

During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 52/100, near Fairview Heights (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.