MediumSevere WeatherCS: 28 · v5

Severe Weather near Hereford

Deaf SmithUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 4 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

One other detection within 20 km in the last 24 hours, 19 km from here.

This alert expired on 30 September 2026 at 08:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is one of only 2 we have recorded within 20 km of this point since 18 April 2026. The last comparable one was on 1 August 2026.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued September 30 at 2:13AM CDT until September 30 at 3:00AM CDT by NWS Amarillo TX

Urban PEI: 15,021 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.

Nearby, since 18 April 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 28 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)28 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.79/1
Coordinates34.9416, -102.5521
Nearest CityHereford (19 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)15.0K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-09-30T07:13:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.034acb9fb2bd21feb1479d50bee5228a65488c72.001.1

Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-09-30T07:13:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-09-30T06:33:48.155Z. Material modification: 2026-09-30T07:16:44.037Z.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

3 retained revisions changed source fields this page does not show; the index, severity and version stayed the same.

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
40
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
18
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventFlash Flood Warning
MessageIdurn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.034acb9fb2bd21feb1479d50bee5228a65488c72.001.1
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescPotter, TX; Randall, TX; Deaf Smith, TX; Oldham, TX; Potter, TX; Parmer, TX and 6 more areas
HeadlineFlash Flood Warning issued September 30 at 2:13AM CDT until September 30 at 3:00AM CDT by NWS Amarillo TX
Expires2026-09-30T03:00:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS Amarillo TX
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount10
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.8d399a7de34f2342ab1043bd2c7899eddb7daa38.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.632dad37af470cc34293151a558b4a9dd0cce981.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3a60963c916aac54c17454b00d40e28f2040cd72.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e7f316de17a6352cae3d9609f07ff1b3b1efbaa6.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a1fd9318293e3b92b5e3456e3b9518a7c0f18424.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a6969825578a107cf5713034b2a0948bf3b6f595.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e35efa97e868cdc77961c1de2ce3eb6caa345346.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0651c91cf3dc98a8cffe08ab42ed4ea375582df6.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.6f5e050effa195c9c0c2352f60fc86f9335a2761.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.2169828bcd40c2b0775dddab9ce5d4b3c751f82d.001.1"]

Safety Information

During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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