Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 15 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
2 other detections within 20 km in the last 24 hours, the nearest <1 km from here.
This alert is in force until 4 October 2026, 00:00 UTC.
It is one of only 3 we have recorded within 20 km of this point since 29 April 2026. The last comparable one was on 13 July 2026.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued October 3 at 4:06PM CDT until October 3 at 7:00PM CDT by NWS Fort Worth TX
Nearby, since 29 April 2026
- October 3, 2026 · score 16 · 0.0 km
- July 13, 2026 · 8.4 km
- May 24, 2026 · 15.3 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 16 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 16 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.61/1 |
| Coordinates | 32.2291, -95.8206 |
| Nearest City | Tyler (51 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 0 within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | minor |
| Timestamp | 2026-10-03T21:06:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.7586ab371fdd7c2d27d5f48f281c387ede11c701.001.1 |
Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-10-03T21:06:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-10-03T20:31:22.427Z. Material modification: 2026-10-03T21:19:42.785Z.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
2026-10-03T21:19:42.785Z · data_change
Index 28 → 16.
2026-10-03T21:08:57.358Z · data_change
Index 37 → 28.
2 retained revisions changed source fields this page does not show; the index, severity and version stayed the same.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flash Flood Warning |
| MessageId | urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.7586ab371fdd7c2d27d5f48f281c387ede11c701.001.1 |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Henderson, TX |
| Headline | Flash Flood Warning issued October 3 at 4:06PM CDT until October 3 at 7:00PM CDT by NWS Fort Worth TX |
| Expires | 2026-10-03T19:00:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Fort Worth TX |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 2 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.7586ab371fdd7c2d27d5f48f281c387ede11c701.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3cb9706d96f7a1bf3defe72b9ec0b71986da5132.001.1"] |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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