Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 8 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 30 September 2026 at 07:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the only one we have recorded within 20 km of this point since 26 April 2026. The last comparable one was on 7 August 2026.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued September 29 at 11:11PM MDT until September 30 at 1:30AM MDT by NWS El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
Urban PEI: 30,753 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.
Nearby, since 26 April 2026
- August 7, 2026 · 12.0 km
- June 15, 2026 · 26.2 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 28 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 28 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.80/1 |
| Coordinates | 32.6290, -106.3472 |
| Nearest City | Alamogordo (47 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 30.8K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-09-30T05:11:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.797f454b57f12f67993cb8dc8bf36e7d363357b6.001.1 |
Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-09-30T05:11:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-09-30T05:19:12.113Z. Material modification: 2026-09-30T05:40:38.427Z.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
3 retained revisions changed source fields this page does not show; the index, severity and version stayed the same.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flash Flood Warning |
| MessageId | urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.797f454b57f12f67993cb8dc8bf36e7d363357b6.001.1 |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Dona Ana, NM; Lincoln, NM; Socorro, NM; Hudspeth, TX and 2 more areas |
| Headline | Flash Flood Warning issued September 29 at 11:11PM MDT until September 30 at 1:30AM MDT by NWS El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM |
| Expires | 2026-09-30T01:30:00-06:00 |
| SenderName | NWS El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 5 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.41aca04a7f292097bec01338e6348c65de4c25f2.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.7269ac0ebc42ac15a3d145b02a2e68519df0fd62.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a55647161285e9350ac3d997e2cab4ec4a0b1867.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.5f910f2442fb8b943d0aa17013eecd16907962d6.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.66cb95f92c27174ce7fff9e0534d99e2fac52718.001.1"] |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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