Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 29 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 7 July 2026 at 03:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 6th strongest of the 141 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 17 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 5 July 2026. 4 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flood Warning issued July 6 at 5:37PM EDT until July 6 at 11:30PM EDT by NWS Upton NY
Urban PEI: 28,015,092 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.
Nearby, since 17 March 2026
- July 6, 2026 · score 52 · 0.0 km
- June 7, 2026 · score 52 · 3.9 km
- March 17, 2026 · score 52 · 5.5 km
How we know
17 recorded sources include NOAA; independence is not established by this count.
Our own score for this event is 52 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 52 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.90/1 |
| Coordinates | 40.8024, -73.7575 |
| Nearest City | Bayside (4 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 28.0M within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-07-06T21:37:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Flood Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.2e64886bfeec4cab2b5bc7a0418bd8d8 |
Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-07-06T21:37:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-07-06T23:05:20.177Z. Material modification: not recorded.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flood Warning |
| Urgency | Expected |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Fairfield, CT; Monmouth, NJ; Ocean, NJ |
| Headline | Flood Warning issued July 6 at 5:37PM EDT until July 6 at 11:30PM EDT by NWS Upton NY |
| Expires | 2026-07-06T23:30:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Upton NY |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 2 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.2e64886bfeec4cab2b5bc7a0418bd8d81d7d01a6.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.20f33ad7d4bbc2fce611cbde4a49a179cc45ea9f.001.1"] |
| Iem TypeSummary | F |
| Iem City | 1 SE Ocean Twp. |
| Iem County | Monmouth |
| Iem State | NJ |
| Iem Wfo | PHI |
| Iem Remark | Video sent in of cars stuck in high water on Route 35 in Ocean Township. |
| MergedSources | [{"id":"iem_F_40.580_-73.990_1783353600000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783353600000,"latitude":40.58,"longitude":-73.99},{"id":"iem_R_40.180_-74.050_1783371360000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783371360000,"latitude":40.18,"longitude":-74.05},{"id":"iem_F_40.210_-74.050_1783353600000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783353600000,"latitude":40.21,"longitude":-74.05},{"id":"iem_F_40.730_-73.460_1783356720000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783356720000,"latitude":40.73,"longitude":-73.46},{"id":"iem_F_40.210_-74.040_1783354500000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783354500000,"latitude":40.21,"longitude":-74.04},{"id":"iem_R_40.190_-74.040_1783373100000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783373100000,"latitude":40.19,"longitude":-74.04},{"id":"iem_R_40.210_-74.060_1783372980000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783372980000,"latitude":40.21,"longitude":-74.06},{"id":"iem_F_40.250_-73.990_1783353000000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783353000000,"latitude":40.25,"longitude":-73.99},{"id":"iem_R_40.200_-74.050_1783372740000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783372740000,"latitude":40.2,"longitude":-74.05},{"id":"iem_F_40.580_-73.990_1783358100000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783358100000,"latitude":40.58,"longitude":-73.99},{"id":"iem_F_40.230_-74.000_1783359000000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783359000000,"latitude":40.23,"longitude":-74},{"id":"iem_F_40.300_-74.060_1783353000000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783353000000,"latitude":40.3,"longitude":-74.06},{"id":"iem_F_40.740_-73.420_1783361100000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783361100000,"latitude":40.74,"longitude":-73.42},{"id":"iem_F_40.330_-73.980_1783353300000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783353300000,"latitude":40.33,"longitude":-73.98},{"id":"iem_F_40.250_-74.040_1783353840000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783353840000,"latitude":40.25,"longitude":-74.04},{"id":"iem_F_40.240_-74.040_1783354500000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783354500000,"latitude":40.24,"longitude":-74.04}] |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Review the area, threshold and delivery channel in your account.
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