Calamity
mediumSevere weatherCalamity Score: 39

Severe Weather in United States

ShelbyUnited StatesNOAA

This alert expired on 29 June 2026 at 06:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 160 recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026 — 78 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 19 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Flood Warning issued June 27 at 1:21PM CDT by NWS St Louis MO

An estimated 91,367 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 15 March 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 39 out of 100, at 79 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Event Data

TypeSevere weather
Severitymedium
Calamity Score (ours)39 / 100
Our confidence79%
Coordinates39.4094, -88.9072
Nearest CityMattoon (47 km)
Population Exposed91.4K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-06-27T18:21:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Flood Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.5b6ab43117c9ddd144cf92223d047d3b

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
55
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventFlood Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescMorgan, IL; Pike, IL; Brown, IL; Pike, IL; Scott, IL and 14 more areas
HeadlineFlood Warning issued June 27 at 1:21PM CDT by NWS St Louis MO
Expires2026-06-29T01:30:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS St Louis MO
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount17
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.5b6ab43117c9ddd144cf92223d047d3b48e53959.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.5b6ab43117c9ddd144cf92223d047d3b48e53959.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.5b6ab43117c9ddd144cf92223d047d3b48e53959.003.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.5b6ab43117c9ddd144cf92223d047d3b48e53959.004.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.29ff5d264f6cd8e1f2cfd1ad9942b74ec0bb5f25.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.21fda7759c1946e82f5cb490e1671ce6f98a6f64.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b8e47c732402590c9beccabbaa6824696bdbd4e4.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b8e47c732402590c9beccabbaa6824696bdbd4e4.003.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b8e47c732402590c9beccabbaa6824696bdbd4e4.004.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b8e47c732402590c9beccabbaa6824696bdbd4e4.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e50d0b1e4e94f18d7c6f14aff48eeadd9ba5715f.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f3a0ea29537afc1ca9b20523cbf9b217cff52160.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.1c9c0cb1c51f9d4e279afcb17e638161d348e253.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b490d80882202c12b6b54c8e2934654307c4c358.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b490d80882202c12b6b54c8e2934654307c4c358.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.aa6fcfc3fd9b381b6919d79f079799758700bbf5.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.28e489bd3dddae94d7386591f7d5e87aade911cc.001.1"]

Safety Information

During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.

Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 39/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.