Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 43

Severe Weather in United States

AudrainUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 8 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 20 May 2026 at 02:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 147 recorded within 20 km of this point since 4 April 2026 — 60 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 22 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Flood Warning issued May 18 at 9:39PM CDT until May 22 at 2:43AM CDT by NWS Springfield MO

An estimated 129,330 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 4 April 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 81 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)43 / 100
Our confidence81%
Coordinates39.1211, -91.8296
Nearest CityColumbia (47 km)
Population Exposed129.3K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-05-20T18:00:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Flood Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.7a2ea8bf9a483ab0dd46ba554b8b6477

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
70
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventFlood Warning
UrgencyExpected
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescVernon, MO; Bourbon, KS; Cass, MO; Henry, MO; Johnson, MO and 43 more areas
HeadlineFlood Warning issued May 18 at 9:39PM CDT until May 22 at 2:43AM CDT by NWS Springfield MO
Expires2026-05-19T21:45:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS Springfield MO
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount50
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Safety Information

During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 43/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.