This alert is in force until 3 September 2026, 15:15 UTC.
It is the 3rd strongest of the 31 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flood Warning issued September 2 at 11:23PM EDT until September 3 at 11:15AM EDT by NWS Buffalo NY
An estimated 370,832 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 16 March 2026
- September 2, 2026 · score 37 · 5.1 km
- July 18, 2026 · score 43 · 7.1 km
- July 18, 2026 · score 67 · 13.4 km
How we know
Confirmed by 3 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 49 out of 100, at 92 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v4. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | High |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 49 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 92% |
| Coordinates | 43.1520, -77.9019 |
| Nearest City | Gates-North Gates (16 km) |
| Population Exposed | 370.8K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | severe |
| Timestamp | 2026-09-03T03:23:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.9ddf62bfef97c5434ee14ba2aef19f8f2dcacf76.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flood Warning |
| Urgency | Expected |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Orleans, NY; Monroe, NY |
| Headline | Flood Warning issued September 2 at 11:23PM EDT until September 3 at 11:15AM EDT by NWS Buffalo NY |
| Expires | 2026-09-03T11:15:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Buffalo NY |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 2 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.9ddf62bfef97c5434ee14ba2aef19f8f2dcacf76.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d02613a7d72cc8c744d3a2edefd83341f2e68711.001.1"] |
| Spc ReportType | hail |
| Spc Speed | 125 |
| Spc Location | Silver Springs |
| Spc County | Wyoming |
| Spc State | NY |
| Spc Comments | Picture of half dollar sized hail from social media. (BUF) |
| Iem TypeSummary | D |
| Iem City | Olcott |
| Iem County | Niagara |
| Iem State | NY |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens near Gates-North Gates?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 49/100, near Gates-North Gates (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.