Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 43 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 17 March 2026 at 03:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the strongest of the 25 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. One more was recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flood Warning issued March 16 at 11:13AM EDT until March 17 at 11:00AM EDT by NWS Gaylord MI
An estimated 108,695 people live within 50 km of this point.
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 77 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 43 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 77% |
| Coordinates | 42.2738, -84.7155 |
| Nearest City | Jackson (26 km) |
| Population Exposed | 108.7K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-03-16T16:15:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Flood Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.fbbb8e1a023b55d2485fb42d6e67c5f3 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flood Warning |
| Urgency | Expected |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Arenac, MI; Clinton, MI; Allen, IN; De Kalb, IN; Defiance, OH and 2 more areas |
| Headline | Flood Warning issued March 16 at 11:13AM EDT until March 17 at 11:00AM EDT by NWS Gaylord MI |
| Expires | 2026-03-16T23:15:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Gaylord MI |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 5 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.fbbb8e1a023b55d2485fb42d6e67c5f3daa5a4c4.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.8ea33552376190796125d7e5892badb1fb443b64.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.685632b81b5d6efacd5b7c1920698c88eed0ad1f.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.685632b81b5d6efacd5b7c1920698c88eed0ad1f.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.685632b81b5d6efacd5b7c1920698c88eed0ad1f.003.1"] |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens near Jackson?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 43/100, near Jackson (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.