Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 14 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 11 July 2026 at 19:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 10th strongest of the 49 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 4 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flood Warning issued July 11 at 7:53AM CDT until July 11 at 2:00PM CDT by NWS Paducah KY
Urban PEI: 18,181 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.
Nearby, since 15 March 2026
- August 13, 2026 · score 34 · 13.8 km
- September 6, 2026 · score 28 · 14.4 km
- August 1, 2026 · score 58 · 17.0 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 34 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 34 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.81/1 |
| Coordinates | 37.7873, -90.0703 |
| Nearest City | Farmington (31 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 18.2K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-07-11T12:53:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Flood Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.fcd52687aba59de4413d19fbc25c4819 |
Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-07-11T12:53:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-07-11T13:11:28.924Z. Material modification: not recorded.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flood Warning |
| Urgency | Expected |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Perry, MO; Crawford, MO; Iron, MO; Reynolds, MO; Washington, MO; Jackson, IL; Union, IL and 14 more areas |
| Headline | Flood Warning issued July 11 at 7:53AM CDT until July 11 at 2:00PM CDT by NWS Paducah KY |
| Expires | 2026-07-11T14:00:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Paducah KY |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 17 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.fcd52687aba59de4413d19fbc25c4819543f2ec1.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.cc5a123f2c6eadee788ff7b2decc93e983bd59b6.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.43e297c94b983e6ac8be544aba445a471c4c573f.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.4c5f26e60d9751b71cfb5b471a1223fbb74efae3.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.db2c3d1c375fed34033a05af1ae387384df3b90c.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.44a9e66648932b54fa5653c95ad68fa55d67fb90.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.11a54e25f3e3241449f7f4e6a8d1ca8fc4a0d48f.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.9922b5b6d36c1b282a11d2decae2655ca94ed4e3.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.9890bee28677daa4f47ec185fa6b1dfd153ccecb.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.2bf3a7f80a88833a3ca0294bdde2d49f625137d0.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3cea7e7435cf31c80d26601d01a428c2181db588.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3cea7e7435cf31c80d26601d01a428c2181db588.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.7cb6d0b52dc07ff0644e38a4287372057c3477d2.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b92fa583ff48c7fb8fd2af48230b441efad58a9a.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.bd6c07773902f991ff4f3ad8eb6cc7c35e7d9995.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.5911b8e09bfc2185e127f5f49c4c016708d86d46.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.2a6388f477e501434da2b93bf9eebf2b7f3f28f3.001.1"] |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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