Calamity
mediumSevere weatherCalamity Score: 43

Severe weather near Centralia

ThurstonUnited StatesNOAA

This alert expired on 15 March 2026 at 13:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 9 recorded within 20 km of this point since 14 March 2026 — 8 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 4 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Flood Warning issued March 14 at 11:32PM PDT until March 15 at 6:30AM PDT by NWS Seattle WA

An estimated 138,085 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 14 March 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 77 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Event Data

TypeSevere weather
Severitymedium
Calamity Score (ours)43 / 100
Our confidence77%
Coordinates46.8467, -123.0805
Nearest CityCentralia (17 km)
Population Exposed138.1K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-03-15T06:32:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Flood-Warning_noaa_urn-oid-2_49_0_1_840_0_aeb8d047e83dcc190de599a03fec4295

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
70
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventFlood Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescThurston, WA; Grays Harbor, WA; Grays Harbor, WA; Thurston, WA
HeadlineFlood Warning issued March 14 at 11:32PM PDT until March 15 at 6:30AM PDT by NWS Seattle WA
Expires2026-03-15T06:30:00-07:00
SenderNameNWS Seattle WA
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount6
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.aeb8d047e83dcc190de599a03fec429521f41bd3.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.4a4ad6513e822e269b2dfd0643c3c18b4e6c986a.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e697d2c91effeb0bc685965fc6d45efd908b3bd0.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.be6bf2bae8ca3fa4c76d950ad85fd0054b6e4225.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.134f827f97f7a1f52a9706632f825308d34ca3d6.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.02ec95653b8ee7b9e63b68739620a4b127cc7986.001.1"]

Safety Information

During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.

Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 43/100, near Centralia (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 188 scientific monitoring sources.