Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 43

Severe Weather near Centralia

LewisUnited StatesNOAA

This alert expired on 15 March 2026 at 11:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 12 recorded within 20 km of this point since 14 March 2026 — 7 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 6 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Flood Warning issued March 14 at 8:33PM PDT until March 16 at 6:11AM PDT by NWS Seattle WA

An estimated 138,085 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 14 March 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 78 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)43 / 100
Our confidence78%
Coordinates46.7474, -123.0559
Nearest CityCentralia (9 km)
Population Exposed138.1K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-03-15T03:33:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Flood-Warning_noaa_urn-oid-2_49_0_1_840_0_e697d2c91effeb0bc685965fc6d45efd

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
70
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventFlood Warning
UrgencyExpected
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescGrays Harbor, WA; Thurston, WA; Thurston, WA; Cowlitz, WA and 1 more areas
HeadlineFlood Warning issued March 14 at 8:33PM PDT until March 16 at 6:11AM PDT by NWS Seattle WA
Expires2026-03-15T04:45:00-07:00
SenderNameNWS Seattle WA
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount7
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e697d2c91effeb0bc685965fc6d45efd908b3bd0.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ea866fd375d11ab94ec2b9e8e0a99498a62ec077.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.00b0620583e25c70539076339e4c1e020e73bb82.003.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d134d3491d20096030ff8f8f140ac7ff22005c63.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.be6bf2bae8ca3fa4c76d950ad85fd0054b6e4225.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.134f827f97f7a1f52a9706632f825308d34ca3d6.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.02ec95653b8ee7b9e63b68739620a4b127cc7986.001.1"]

Safety Information

During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 43/100, near Centralia (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.