This alert expired on 16 March 2026 at 03:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 35th strongest of the 170 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 5 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Heavy Freezing Spray Warning issued March 15 at 10:07AM CDT until March 16 at 12:00PM CDT by NWS Duluth MN
An estimated 16,788 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 15 March 2026
- August 9, 2026 · score 34 · 0.0 km
- August 4, 2026 · score 34 · 0.0 km
- August 3, 2026 · score 34 · 0.0 km
How we know
Confirmed by 48 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 34 out of 100, at 87 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 34 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 87% |
| Coordinates | 46.0000, -94.3000 |
| Nearest City | Sartell (43 km) |
| Population Exposed | 16.8K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-03-15T15:07:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Heavy-Freezing-Spray-Warning_noaa_urn-oid-2_49_0_1_840_0_5d927a3f051d4a8bc17413b60a7738b1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning |
| Urgency | Expected |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Silver Bay Harbor to Two Harbors MN; Two Harbors to Duluth MN; Duluth MN to Port Wing WI; Port Wing to Sand Island WI; Grand Portage to Grand Marais MN; Taconite Harbor to Silver Bay Harbor MN; Sand Island to Bayfield WI; Oak Point to Saxon Harbor WI; Outer Apostle Islands Beyond 5 NM from Mainland and 2 more areas |
| Headline | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning issued March 15 at 10:07AM CDT until March 16 at 12:00PM CDT by NWS Duluth MN |
| Expires | 2026-03-15T22:15:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Duluth MN |
| HasExactCoords | false |
| MergedCount | 5 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.5d927a3f051d4a8bc17413b60a7738b167db41e5.004.2","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.5d927a3f051d4a8bc17413b60a7738b167db41e5.001.2","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.5d927a3f051d4a8bc17413b60a7738b167db41e5.003.2","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.5d927a3f051d4a8bc17413b60a7738b167db41e5.002.2","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3e16dfa0bb4d85badfa6028e440201397413ebd2.001.2"] |
| Iem TypeSummary | S |
| Iem Magnitude | 4 |
| Iem Unit | Inch |
| Iem City | 1 SW Little Falls |
| Iem County | Morrison |
| Iem State | MN |
| Iem Wfo | MPX |
| Iem Remark | Cocorahs station MN-MR-4 Little Falls 1.2 SW. |
| MergedSources | 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|
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 34/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 188 scientific monitoring sources.