Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 3 hours ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 31 May 2026 at 23:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 6th strongest of the 32 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 2 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued May 31 at 6:07PM CDT until May 31 at 6:30PM CDT by NWS Memphis TN
An estimated 27,900 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 15 March 2026
- July 10, 2026 · score 34 · 13.5 km
- June 13, 2026 · score 67 · 14.9 km
- March 15, 2026 · score 58 · 18.8 km
How we know
Confirmed by 4 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 40 out of 100, at 89 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | High |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 40 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 89% |
| Coordinates | 36.1768, -90.1828 |
| Nearest City | Paragould (31 km) |
| Population Exposed | 27.9K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-05-31T23:07:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0427c42f662966713eb174d105970bbb |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Pemiscot, MO; Dyer, TN; Lake, TN; Mississippi, AR; Pemiscot, MO; Dyer, TN; Lauderdale, TN; Randolph, AR; Sharp, AR |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued May 31 at 6:07PM CDT until May 31 at 6:30PM CDT by NWS Memphis TN |
| Expires | 2026-05-31T18:30:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Memphis TN |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 3 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0427c42f662966713eb174d105970bbbcc43e548.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.132b36ffa5b4d9a7a6ec5f5bb8768075ad22372b.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.27e347b43fc9c6724532aaa9961e25f6d0fc6b65.001.1"] |
| Spc ReportType | hail |
| Spc Speed | 100 |
| Spc Location | Oxly |
| Spc County | Ripley |
| Spc State | MO |
| Spc Comments | (PAH) |
| Iem TypeSummary | H |
| Iem Magnitude | 1 |
| Iem Unit | Inch |
| Iem City | Oxly |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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