Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 52

Severe Weather near Bel Air South

HarfordUnited StatesNOAA

This alert expired on 16 March 2026 at 20:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 5th strongest of the 97 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 3 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 16 at 3:16PM EDT until March 16 at 4:00PM EDT by NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC

An estimated 2,039,620 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 16 March 2026

How we know

Confirmed by 2 independent sources, including NOAA.

Our own score for this event is 52 out of 100, at 83 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)52 / 100
Our confidence83%
Coordinates39.4634, -76.3398
Nearest CityBel Air South (5 km)
Population Exposed2.0M within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-03-16T19:16:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.1419ffa4ec7703bde2fc2a630cfe4c43

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
100
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSevere Thunderstorm Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescAnne Arundel, MD; Calvert, MD; Charles, MD; Prince Georges, MD; Baltimore City, MD; Lancaster, PA; York, PA
HeadlineSevere Thunderstorm Warning issued March 16 at 3:16PM EDT until March 16 at 4:00PM EDT by NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC
Expires2026-03-16T16:00:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount2
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.1419ffa4ec7703bde2fc2a630cfe4c43eec3d620.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.dfc4ebd02ae8762839d1cd912b0640a1f9c9a581.001.1"]
Spc ReportTypewind
Spc SpeedUNK
Spc LocationLisbon
Spc CountyHoward
Spc StateMD
Spc CommentsMultiple small trees reported down in the median of I-70 near the Woodbine Road exit (exit 73). (LWX)
MergedSources[{"id":"spc_wind_39.34_-77.07_99","source":"spc","severity":"medium","severityValue":45,"timestamp":1773677040000,"latitude":39.34,"longitude":-77.07}]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 52/100, near Bel Air South (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.