This alert expired on 6 July 2026 at 02:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 8th strongest of the 127 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 11 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 6 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued July 5 at 9:32PM EDT until July 5 at 10:15PM EDT by NWS Mount Holly NJ
An estimated 1,710,946 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 11 March 2026
- June 22, 2026 · score 52 · 2.4 km
- March 16, 2026 · score 52 · 6.6 km
- July 7, 2026 · score 52 · 7.4 km
How we know
Confirmed by 5 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 52 out of 100, at 90 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 52 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 90% |
| Coordinates | 39.4902, -76.2488 |
| Nearest City | Bel Air South (6 km) |
| Population Exposed | 1.7M within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-07-06T01:32:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.18df5334c9115c923851b3f9ff5eb130 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Berks, PA; Chester, PA; Montgomery, PA; Queen Anne's, MD; Talbot, MD; Baltimore, MD; Harford, MD and 6 more areas |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued July 5 at 9:32PM EDT until July 5 at 10:15PM EDT by NWS Mount Holly NJ |
| Expires | 2026-07-05T22:15:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Mount Holly NJ |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 10 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.18df5334c9115c923851b3f9ff5eb130dc4cb67a.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.fa65b00ca951992702c202c0248ee4c3a598b6e7.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b46a859b4c8520ae17b078f662334f6201f5f931.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.84de9990e42c0705d789c8b48a6988a94b7e0b29.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b0bebb5c76230b21203b58356a189de33838e316.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.c9aca735ab77b52eb230facb8ef5b9db4ca14f40.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0aadaaa88df0ee675ff6ff4212d3e11d80a0822d.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f55a28c671ef1f6dcf68682cb6c27526087282c9.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.c4dc96765dd1d561f108371a0510cb2bd7669f6f.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.dbecf6b27cb399e3129335784b63c546f29edead.001.1"] |
| Iem TypeSummary | H |
| Iem Magnitude | 1 |
| Iem Unit | inch |
| Iem City | 1 WNW Finksburg |
| Iem County | Carroll |
| Iem State | MD |
| Iem Wfo | LWX |
| MergedSources | [{"id":"iem_H_39.530_-76.930_1783292820000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783292820000,"latitude":39.53,"longitude":-76.93},{"id":"iem_F_39.970_-76.710_1783299120000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783299120000,"latitude":39.97,"longitude":-76.71},{"id":"iem_H_39.620_-76.860_1783294080000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783294080000,"latitude":39.62,"longitude":-76.86},{"id":"iem_H_39.500_-76.910_1783292400000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783292400000,"latitude":39.5,"longitude":-76.91}] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens near Bel Air South?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 52/100, near Bel Air South (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.