Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 7 hours ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 3 July 2026 at 21:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 48 recorded within 20 km of this point since 4 April 2026 — 7 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 14 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued July 3 at 4:12PM EDT until July 3 at 5:00PM EDT by NWS Northern Indiana
Urban PEI: 180,242 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.
Nearby, since 4 April 2026
- August 10, 2026 · score 43 · 17.5 km
- August 9, 2026 · score 43 · 18.8 km
- July 3, 2026 · score 43 · 21.1 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 43 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.78/1 |
| Coordinates | 42.0840, -86.3480 |
| Nearest City | Granger (42 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 180.2K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Date | 2026-07-03 — time not reported by the source |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.1b44c0f63ea34702d0e7ec7845839ec6 |
Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-07-03 — time not reported.
First archived: 2026-07-03T20:13:04.355Z. Material modification: not recorded.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Elkhart, IN; St. Joseph, IN; Cass, MI; St. Joseph, MI; Cook, IL; Kent, MI and 4 more areas |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued July 3 at 4:12PM EDT until July 3 at 5:00PM EDT by NWS Northern Indiana |
| Expires | 2026-07-03T17:00:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Northern Indiana |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 7 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.1b44c0f63ea34702d0e7ec7845839ec67c0f5cf0.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.91124024cdd6c30b7a0feb1ce7dda0ef51610cdc.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.fc84b1f00e50c786a3314c3a9d6f9eb38a99d948.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.178894b925cdd0681f47c543db47ca2206dbf534.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a49f32d856a93c6c353399d0bac589c0b6d3d68f.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d38c01b7c3f2c7088fbb29db79eff9f38466b971.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3273d2ac40440bda75a509d4bd56a100cb14999e.001.1"] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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