Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 46

Severe Weather near Middle River

BaltimoreUnited StatesNOAA

This alert expired on 2 September 2026 at 18:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 81st strongest of the 181 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 12 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued September 2 at 1:12PM EDT until September 2 at 2:00PM EDT by NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC

An estimated 2,291,442 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 12 March 2026

How we know

Confirmed by 2 independent sources, including NOAA.

Our own score for this event is 46 out of 100, at 87 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v4. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)46 / 100
Our confidence87%
Coordinates39.3393, -76.4102
Nearest CityMiddle River (3 km)
Population Exposed2.3M within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-09-02T17:12:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.1be4a5037a7fd9b7d02f49f971b7c00757645d6b.001.1

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
100
population
0
cascading
18
historical

Technical Details

EventSevere Thunderstorm Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescAnne Arundel, MD; Howard, MD; Prince Georges, MD; Baltimore, MD; Carroll, MD; Frederick, MD; Howard, MD; Montgomery, MD; Anne Arundel, MD; Baltimore, MD; Carroll, MD; Cecil, MD; Harford, MD; Howard, MD; Baltimore City, MD and 3 more areas
HeadlineSevere Thunderstorm Warning issued September 2 at 1:12PM EDT until September 2 at 2:00PM EDT by NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC
Expires2026-09-02T14:00:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount6
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.1be4a5037a7fd9b7d02f49f971b7c00757645d6b.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f4da6cfeb37f8f03543bc53e7427630116978049.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.24d4570aef72272176edd529c7a23a42a9961ec8.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.8628aa44fe87441ea3a394a4db7e27103b102e6b.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.8cc933472435a63677c7a8b11157b5996943e880.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a892123a9b34cd9fa1df34e56d175cc82bc5e3fa.001.1"]
Spc ReportTypewind
Spc SpeedUNK
Spc Location3 NW Codorus
Spc CountyYork
Spc StatePA
Spc CommentsTree and wires down blocking road at intersection of Bungalow Road and Waltersdorff Road. (CTP)
MergedSources[{"id":"spc_wind_39.87_-76.94_27","source":"spc","severity":"medium","severityValue":45,"timestamp":1788364800000,"latitude":39.87,"longitude":-76.94},{"id":"spc_wind_39.83_-76.87_28","source":"spc","severity":"medium","severityValue":45,"timestamp":1788365220000,"latitude":39.83,"longitude":-76.87}]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 46/100, near Middle River (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.