Calamity
mediumSevere weatherCalamity Score: 48

Severe Weather near Warren

TrumbullUnited StatesNOAA

This alert expired on 4 July 2026 at 01:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 4th strongest of the 53 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 17 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 2 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued July 3 at 8:42PM EDT until July 3 at 9:00PM EDT by NWS Pittsburgh PA

An estimated 695,308 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 17 March 2026

How we know

Confirmed by 5 independent sources, including NOAA.

Our own score for this event is 48 out of 100, at 90 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Event Data

TypeSevere weather
Severitymedium
Calamity Score (ours)48 / 100
Our confidence90%
Coordinates41.1414, -80.9475
Nearest CityWarren (15 km)
Population Exposed695.3K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-07-04T00:42:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.25b5ba45d4cbe66b37c598fbc7a638d4

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
85
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSevere Thunderstorm Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescClarion, PA; Forest, PA; Venango, PA; Armstrong, PA; Butler, PA; Clarion, PA; Indiana, PA; Jefferson, PA; Cuyahoga, OH; Lorain, OH and 1 more areas
HeadlineSevere Thunderstorm Warning issued July 3 at 8:42PM EDT until July 3 at 9:00PM EDT by NWS Pittsburgh PA
Expires2026-07-03T21:00:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Pittsburgh PA
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount4
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.25b5ba45d4cbe66b37c598fbc7a638d4272c83f0.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.08b83ebd5fd3dd5d8fa8b9150c3f26ae123be039.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.23bc24d5a5660cd566bfdbca6747a69c85461f87.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.6c0bcd1e24be34b5d2c85abbf3d92cc1b2dcd7e6.001.1"]
Iem TypeSummaryD
Iem City2 NNW Grove City
Iem CountyMercer
Iem StatePA
Iem WfoPBZ
Iem RemarkBETWEEN GEORGE JR RD TO THE RAILROAD TRACKS (CROSSING CRANBERRY RD) THERE ARE WIRES DOWN AND TREES ALL ALONG THE ROAD. Time based on radar estimate.
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_L_41.170_-80.170_1783121220000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783121220000,"latitude":41.17,"longitude":-80.17},{"id":"iem_D_41.240_-80.490_1783120620000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783120620000,"latitude":41.24,"longitude":-80.49},{"id":"iem_D_41.190_-80.100_1783121820000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783121820000,"latitude":41.19,"longitude":-80.1},{"id":"iem_D_41.190_-80.110_1783121820000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783121820000,"latitude":41.19,"longitude":-80.11}]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 48/100, near Warren (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.