Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 48

Severe Weather near Newton

JasperUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 54 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 19 May 2026 at 01:34 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 5th strongest of the 36 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 April 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 4 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued May 18 at 8:25PM CDT until May 18 at 8:30PM CDT by NWS Des Moines IA

An estimated 540,179 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 15 April 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 48 out of 100, at 80 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)48 / 100
Our confidence80%
Coordinates41.7942, -93.2158
Nearest CityNewton (17 km)
Population Exposed540.2K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Date2026-05-19 — time not reported by the source
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.33c59d03e283196ab9d0b4ca8b7c220a

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
85
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSevere Thunderstorm Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescJasper, IA; Polk, IA; Jasper, IA; Marshall, IA; Polk, IA; Story, IA
HeadlineSevere Thunderstorm Warning issued May 18 at 8:25PM CDT until May 18 at 8:30PM CDT by NWS Des Moines IA
Expires2026-05-18T20:34:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS Des Moines IA
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount2
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.33c59d03e283196ab9d0b4ca8b7c220a86d7151e.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.cc9e2d9f6d3808444a88257e783ffd1f8b96fab3.001.1"]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 48/100, near Newton (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.