This alert expired on 10 August 2026 at 22:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 12th strongest of the 77 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 17 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 8 August 2026. 12 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued August 10 at 6:09PM EDT until August 10 at 6:15PM EDT by NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC
An estimated 479,284 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 17 March 2026
- August 7, 2026 · score 43 · 8.1 km
- August 8, 2026 · score 48 · 15.8 km
- July 22, 2026 · score 48 · 15.8 km
How we know
Confirmed by 2 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 85 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 43 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 85% |
| Coordinates | 37.6877, -77.2465 |
| Nearest City | Mechanicsville (14 km) |
| Population Exposed | 479.3K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-08-10T22:09:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.590fff88d0fa247dd26a043d65c70e8c |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Calvert, MD; St. Marys, MD; St. Marys, MD; Charles City, VA; Chesterfield, VA; Goochland, VA; Hanover, VA; Henrico, VA; King William, VA; New Kent, VA; Powhatan, VA; Prince George, VA; City of Hopewell, VA; City of Richmond, VA and 9 more areas |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued August 10 at 6:09PM EDT until August 10 at 6:15PM EDT by NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC |
| Expires | 2026-08-10T18:15:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 13 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.590fff88d0fa247dd26a043d65c70e8cc7967da7.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.52f83d26ee7363532ac5df37ddca71b0640b51a0.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.4b6def6ab9cddf9eca462181039a7b0d6bd974b8.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3ff67f7df7d26a482c5ea02850588e7b7e468f13.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.fbe6f2410869fb1ab0bda8c61c9f9bf0e79f7f53.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.2e9bfa66f6434e3d0a53819adfcdd544c650f3b4.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.5df0c65b2816725c6043bb1394200f5966a5395a.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f80e57843233ebd2fb96860c59b3210b8179d0d2.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.1d4c9569cc4c1b619b1350f6ef7531d587276f69.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.5bce5eb63568efb16e2ed0a7d82f739d91c8818a.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.651641f83d18b067eb2b64f0841a5c86e0558594.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.5e69d9e9698d04480e94961ba7e5418052b82e9a.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.203d87ba29828d33232d627c92f938ab53d26d23.001.1"] |
| Iem TypeSummary | D |
| Iem City | 2 N Hadensville |
| Iem County | Goochland |
| Iem State | VA |
| Iem Wfo | AKQ |
| Iem Remark | Trees downed at the intersection of Three Chopt Rd and Walton Rd. VA-699 closed in both directions in this location. |
| MergedSources | [{"id":"iem_D_37.860_-78.000_1786396800000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1786396800000,"latitude":37.86,"longitude":-78}] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 43/100, near Mechanicsville (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 188 scientific monitoring sources.