Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 29 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 20 May 2026 at 03:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 2nd strongest of the 38 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 30 April 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 9 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued May 19 at 9:57PM CDT until May 19 at 10:30PM CDT by NWS Fort Worth TX
An estimated 1,502,583 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 30 April 2026
- August 27, 2026 · score 46 · 5.3 km
- May 20, 2026 · score 52 · 5.4 km
- May 11, 2026 · score 52 · 11.0 km
How we know
Confirmed by 6 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 52 out of 100, at 90 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 52 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 90% |
| Coordinates | 30.4060, -97.7765 |
| Nearest City | Jollyville (4 km) |
| Population Exposed | 1.5M within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-05-20T02:57:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.5b7a6d1134778c2f8d3e64d1568c4883 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Milam, TX; Bastrop, TX; Lee, TX; Williamson, TX; Bastrop, TX; Caldwell, TX; Comal, TX; Gonzales, TX; Guadalupe, TX; Hays, TX; Travis, TX and 3 more areas |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued May 19 at 9:57PM CDT until May 19 at 10:30PM CDT by NWS Fort Worth TX |
| Expires | 2026-05-19T22:30:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Fort Worth TX |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 6 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.5b7a6d1134778c2f8d3e64d1568c4883e6326d0b.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b498114bec308e25345f6f99d89af5e9e934b4fd.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.28ce78970af04be43a07f23a7b14924dc31eaf63.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.437a0b5d6e186345bc9bcdf836897ba060f6679f.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b2483845c77f43c752f108a9b3c718fc1cbf0acb.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.6b9cd68482af2217efaae26fc9954b5ae1a5f7f5.002.1"] |
| Iem TypeSummary | G |
| Iem Magnitude | 70 |
| Iem Unit | MPH |
| Iem City | 2 ESE Serenada |
| Iem County | Williamson |
| Iem State | TX |
| Iem Wfo | EWX |
| Iem Remark | Amateur Radio report at SH 130 & I-35 under the SH 130 overpass near Georgetown, had street lights and several signs blown over. Raining completely horizontal, about 70MPH. |
| Google News RssFeed | weather |
| Google News SourceName | Austin American-Statesman |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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