This alert expired on 8 August 2026 at 21:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 2nd strongest of the 54 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 3 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued August 8 at 4:23PM EDT until August 8 at 5:00PM EDT by NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC
An estimated 1,182,637 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 16 March 2026
- July 7, 2026 · score 52 · 8.3 km
- August 10, 2026 · score 48 · 8.6 km
- May 27, 2026 · score 52 · 11.1 km
How we know
Confirmed by 4 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 52 out of 100, at 90 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 52 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 90% |
| Coordinates | 38.7045, -77.6457 |
| Nearest City | Linton Hall (9 km) |
| Population Exposed | 1.2M within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-08-08T20:23:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.653ce9b3c9ed9376075ede39e35375ff |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Culpeper, VA; Fauquier, VA; Spotsylvania, VA; Stafford, VA; City of Fredericksburg, VA; Clarke, VA; Loudoun, VA; Jefferson, WV; Culpeper, VA; Fauquier, VA |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued August 8 at 4:23PM EDT until August 8 at 5:00PM EDT by NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC |
| Expires | 2026-08-08T17:00:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 3 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.653ce9b3c9ed9376075ede39e35375ff7d403f66.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.c734f14b87d169da9d7879792cb1e9e1deb61f62.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ee21bff972580bf2ee1ff4dad78ee25a172c1707.001.1"] |
| Iem TypeSummary | D |
| Iem City | 2 NE Ranson |
| Iem County | Jefferson |
| Iem State | WV |
| Iem Wfo | LWX |
| Iem Remark | Trees down near the intersection of Flowing Springs Road and Flowing Acres Road/Briar Run Drive. |
| MergedSources | [{"id":"iem_D_38.660_-78.370_1786215120000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1786215120000,"latitude":38.66,"longitude":-78.37},{"id":"iem_D_38.660_-78.460_1786214640000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1786214640000,"latitude":38.66,"longitude":-78.46},{"id":"iem_D_39.320_-77.840_1786203900000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1786203900000,"latitude":39.32,"longitude":-77.84}] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 52/100, near Linton Hall (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 188 scientific monitoring sources.