This alert expired on 16 March 2026 at 01:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 6 recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026 — 3 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 2 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 15 at 7:12PM CDT until March 15 at 8:15PM CDT by NWS Memphis TN
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 22 out of 100, at 58 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 22 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 58% |
| Coordinates | 34.7926, -91.1918 |
| Nearest City | Searcy (71 km) |
| Impact Tier | minor |
| Timestamp | 2026-03-16T00:12:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.708194254e91135a0c0e64f8eea43317 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Crittenden, AR; Cross, AR; Mississippi, AR; Poinsett, AR; St. Francis, AR; Lauderdale, TN; Shelby, TN; Tipton, TN; Mississippi, AR; Pemiscot, MO; Dyer, TN; Lake, TN; Lauderdale, TN; Bolivar, MS; Sunflower, MS and 28 more areas |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 15 at 7:12PM CDT until March 15 at 8:15PM CDT by NWS Memphis TN |
| Expires | 2026-03-15T20:15:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Memphis TN |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 33 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.708194254e91135a0c0e64f8eea43317439a4850.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.c497c3098f557190ad07accbd7d2a46388027a2c.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.bafd995c55649dbdd0508f55a479b32f75a16a99.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3ffa6d0f2849f04dedc592d9b13d5efc0c7214de.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.56ceb995b5d8805542b6b1f1d81c8b3b45775a03.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b6f9b41e7481028ef2da263f748429ad7702a7a1.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.6baaf6194c6d970baa46dc93c36a0cee0a1850ff.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.fd2fdf3f63cd6b238fca7b0cd0e7e3c671e43b45.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ca601e38812d7ddc8e94099ec5ba0ebbb09c4ee9.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.5e868794cdcb4e4cb1cbb358050477942c9e8929.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.86995622c1d8ecf86fbd46647d8748893fa8dcb4.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.7319e3567c8223c902f3f6455186387d0005e51b.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d1ee6b41f8677a125a117fbc83e9b58a1ea77cb7.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.91e520635343667c3920794a76075a1f35b2d265.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.6accbcc2856786391090b843c7cb0120b99aa37f.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3e5bc5e7014b077c989e7a23f5cc619e34f81162.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e33d6b8953ff4731cc3a72840d53691b1fd844f1.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.2c816ba02703a9d5ed1c418a1643f4a86aa0fa58.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f6d31bb9c5199ad80a60b756dc58adf685cac15f.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.00a1bcda891ae26164b3a5e5276ee6014d5544c3.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.34f2a52b3657294f0cd140b78df703201b3f13ef.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.1bb61a731144239e4253bfd75b441bcb21a520d1.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e4d52c152226ea89c5e7d890558d3f9af9cbf700.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.7d06529dfcb84994c9ec7eff6a0c8a7c269e0edf.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e73e9787fa52a61ddc32fafdc253a6ba2a7bddfb.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.70da0a98881fe0ecd83271a4815afee3350d4260.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.74f4e32b313cd8b177072ba68b09d54b4b7889e8.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.999cb0ad4b1a252760493941ecdc1d3c78b17c7d.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.4d5ddabecde9114b33956ae0f4527dd726736684.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.7b3c5bb2f10a691ac82d0d4d70cae26920dc2af1.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.74ef79d42cec53e580ff8bb3037be6445451424e.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.7455ded37d724702c4fc5e003bb4087ab4538a8c.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.9de07277c3c8d852180bcf679065a0e1eefcfbd0.001.1"] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 22/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 188 scientific monitoring sources.