Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 43

Severe Weather in United States

VolusiaUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 4 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

One other detection within 20 km in the last 24 hours, 5 km from here.

This alert expired on 16 March 2026 at 20:02 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 44 recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026 — 22 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 7 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 16 at 3:52PM EDT until March 16 at 4:00PM EDT by NWS Jacksonville FL

An estimated 154,058 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 15 March 2026

How we know

Confirmed by 12 independent sources, including NOAA.

Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 88 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)43 / 100
Our confidence88%
Coordinates29.3306, -81.5318
Nearest CityDeLand (40 km)
Population Exposed154.1K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-03-16T19:52:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.821c6be31df19426d59513d647d3ef2f

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
70
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSevere Thunderstorm Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescMarion, FL; Putnam, FL; Flagler, FL; Putnam, FL
HeadlineSevere Thunderstorm Warning issued March 16 at 3:52PM EDT until March 16 at 4:00PM EDT by NWS Jacksonville FL
Expires2026-03-16T16:02:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Jacksonville FL
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount2
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.821c6be31df19426d59513d647d3ef2f2297923d.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.72d9e3c84e47bc1f50e7bed250e42e046466d2e3.001.1"]
Iem TypeSummaryG
Iem Magnitude48
Iem UnitMPH
Iem City2 SSW Silver Lake
Iem CountyLake
Iem StateFL
Iem WfoMLB
Iem RemarkLeesburg International Airport measured a peak wind gust of 48MPH/42KT from the southwest at 3:06 PM.
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_G_29.570_-81.170_1773687000000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773687000000,"latitude":29.57,"longitude":-81.17},{"id":"iem_G_29.190_-81.070_1773685800000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773685800000,"latitude":29.19,"longitude":-81.07},{"id":"iem_G_29.180_-81.070_1773687180000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773687180000,"latitude":29.18,"longitude":-81.07},{"id":"iem_G_29.050_-80.900_1773687240000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773687240000,"latitude":29.05,"longitude":-80.9},{"id":"iem_G_29.180_-81.070_1773687600000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773687600000,"latitude":29.18,"longitude":-81.07},{"id":"iem_G_29.660_-81.690_1773684900000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773684900000,"latitude":29.66,"longitude":-81.69},{"id":"iem_G_28.820_-81.820_1773683700000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773683700000,"latitude":28.82,"longitude":-81.82},{"id":"iem_G_29.570_-81.190_1773687000000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773687000000,"latitude":29.57,"longitude":-81.19},{"id":"iem_G_29.470_-81.200_1773687000000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773687000000,"latitude":29.47,"longitude":-81.2},{"id":"iem_G_28.770_-81.220_1773685140000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773685140000,"latitude":28.77,"longitude":-81.22},{"id":"iem_G_28.820_-81.820_1773687960000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773687960000,"latitude":28.82,"longitude":-81.82}]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 43/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.