Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 5 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
3 other detections within 20 km in the last 24 hours, the nearest 7 km from here.
This alert expired on 21 September 2026 at 19:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 17th strongest of the 43 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 17 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 2 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued September 21 at 3:21PM EDT until September 21 at 3:30PM EDT by NWS Blacksburg VA
Urban PEI: 96,821 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.
Nearby, since 17 March 2026
- September 6, 2026 · score 32 · 7.4 km
- July 19, 2026 · score 39 · 11.8 km
- July 11, 2026 · score 39 · 12.5 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 32 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 32 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.81/1 |
| Coordinates | 36.8096, -82.1169 |
| Nearest City | Bristol (24 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 96.8K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-09-21T19:21:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.8ad8c732491287b6770b2a6a8c71602d2cd6a0a6.001.1 |
Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-09-21T19:21:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-09-21T19:24:57.605Z. Material modification: not recorded.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Carroll, VA; Floyd, VA; Patrick, VA; Buchanan, VA; McDowell, WV; Avery, NC; McDowell, NC; Mitchell, NC and 2 more areas |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued September 21 at 3:21PM EDT until September 21 at 3:30PM EDT by NWS Blacksburg VA |
| Expires | 2026-09-21T15:30:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Blacksburg VA |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 5 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.8ad8c732491287b6770b2a6a8c71602d2cd6a0a6.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ecc6360ece5aca1fe24b1fc9aa91a2c736fb591f.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.4b33e925308128315cd3ef419c5491fc9d07a3bc.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.fe3907194b418a54b23e80ef940cbf8b3d3099d2.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ec56e77a4f12411c4df0eb105170a8f9cd056105.001.1"] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Review the area, threshold and delivery channel in your account.
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