Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 4 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 16 May 2026 at 20:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 5th strongest of the 81 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 10 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 14 May 2026. 4 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued May 16 at 4:33PM EDT until May 16 at 4:45PM EDT by NWS Indianapolis IN
An estimated 18,012 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 10 March 2026
- July 26, 2026 · score 22 · 7.6 km
- May 14, 2026 · score 22 · 7.6 km
- May 13, 2026 · score 22 · 7.6 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 34 out of 100, at 80 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 34 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 80% |
| Coordinates | 38.5704, -88.0187 |
| Nearest City | Vincennes (44 km) |
| Population Exposed | 18.0K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-05-16T20:33:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.8d466dba03fa6b9c47271f62fb116c9d |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Daviess, IN; Knox, IN; Lawrence, IL; Clinton, IL and 3 more areas |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued May 16 at 4:33PM EDT until May 16 at 4:45PM EDT by NWS Indianapolis IN |
| Expires | 2026-05-16T16:45:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Indianapolis IN |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 6 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.8d466dba03fa6b9c47271f62fb116c9daee57004.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.cbb4e8227a3fa3b347d90a6c7e2aa0ae6fb4fb56.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.4d85fdf3312ec8266777a0ad2f26b9fe8667ad70.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.1e0591f03e6bac14dd4753f901231a52b7f4c2d8.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.1e1913fcd4e124d35acc961bb493a8b77c2f5be3.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.95a9f05f8c72aa17bb71b32f15d93fcd3ab910f6.001.1"] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens in this area?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 34/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.