Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 52

Severe Weather near Raleigh

WakeUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 2 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 16 March 2026 at 23:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 134 recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026 — 93 others scored the same.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 16 at 6:50PM EDT until March 16 at 7:30PM EDT by NWS Wilmington NC

An estimated 1,529,428 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 16 March 2026

How we know

Confirmed by 3 independent sources, including NOAA.

Our own score for this event is 52 out of 100, at 89 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)52 / 100
Our confidence89%
Coordinates35.7326, -78.6766
Nearest CityRaleigh (5 km)
Population Exposed1.5M within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-03-16T22:50:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.9052ba074903346cfd0163273b4ae7a3

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
100
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSevere Thunderstorm Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescBladen, NC; Columbus, NC; Robeson, NC; Dillon, SC; Horry, SC; Marion, SC; Chatham, NC; Cumberland, NC; Durham, NC; Franklin, NC; Granville, NC; Harnett, NC; Hoke, NC; Johnston, NC; Nash, NC; Orange, NC; Person, NC; Sampson, NC; Vance, NC; Wake, NC; Warren, NC; Wayne, NC; Lunenburg, VA; Mecklenburg, VA; Prince Edward, VA
HeadlineSevere Thunderstorm Warning issued March 16 at 6:50PM EDT until March 16 at 7:30PM EDT by NWS Wilmington NC
Expires2026-03-16T19:30:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Wilmington NC
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount3
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.9052ba074903346cfd0163273b4ae7a3897a1a5e.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.343cf327ddfecb9af83e7767ea627913ad03e974.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3de777491c23e64adcfb6ca3fc73fb99126a3f44.001.1"]
Spc ReportTypewind
Spc SpeedUNK
Spc Location5 NNW Bynum
Spc CountyChatham
Spc StateNC
Spc CommentsTree down at Jones Ferry Road and Meadow Branch Road. (RAH)
Iem TypeSummaryD
Iem City5 NNW Bynum
Iem CountyChatham
Iem StateNC

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 52/100, near Raleigh (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.