This alert expired on 18 May 2026 at 18:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 12th strongest of the 55 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. One more was recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued May 18 at 2:16PM EDT until May 18 at 2:30PM EDT by NWS Northern Indiana
An estimated 164,057 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 16 March 2026
- August 27, 2026 · score 49 · 5.6 km
- August 9, 2026 · score 43 · 12.1 km
- March 16, 2026 · score 67 · 18.4 km
How we know
Confirmed by 2 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 84 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 43 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 84% |
| Coordinates | 41.3771, -85.7854 |
| Nearest City | Goshen (23 km) |
| Population Exposed | 164.1K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-05-18T18:16:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.9d4d0e0c5a9db4fb118ddaeebe76beea |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Kosciusko, IN; Wabash, IN; Boone, IN; Hamilton, IN; Hendricks, IN; Johnson, IN; Marion, IN; Morgan, IN; Lagrange, IN; Branch, MI; St. Joseph, MI and 4 more areas |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued May 18 at 2:16PM EDT until May 18 at 2:30PM EDT by NWS Northern Indiana |
| Expires | 2026-05-18T14:30:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Northern Indiana |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 7 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.9d4d0e0c5a9db4fb118ddaeebe76beea2d4242e4.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f62b6c29588e8651c59eb5839b9af4e4f0b7978e.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.6f0acb5bd5f97056df70b092b83a978ad3163ed7.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.bc66963d184deebc3c9c66ba0cddfb4a61a905b3.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f1baaf5db28a831c3c55b5ee7e54b6aee988b402.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.31d4e6b7494c67810af499bcf7e337b762a416f9.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.1623e439651efb9082215ffc813857e2fc561b43.001.1"] |
| Iem TypeSummary | D |
| Iem City | 1 N South Bend |
| Iem County | St. Joseph |
| Iem State | IN |
| Iem Wfo | IWX |
| Iem Remark | Media report of a large tree downed onto a vehicle by a thunderstorm wind gust near intersection of Humboldt Street and Cleveland Avenue in South Bend, in St. Joseph County Indiana. |
| MergedSources | [{"id":"iem_D_41.690_-86.270_1779125460000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779125460000,"latitude":41.69,"longitude":-86.27}] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens near Goshen?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 43/100, near Goshen (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.