This alert expired on 12 June 2026 at 21:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 48 recorded within 20 km of this point since 23 March 2026 — 6 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. One more was recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued June 12 at 4:44PM EDT until June 12 at 5:30PM EDT by NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC
An estimated 145,042 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 23 March 2026
- May 14, 2026 · score 39 · 11.5 km
- July 6, 2026 · score 39 · 12.7 km
- May 13, 2026 · score 39 · 17.7 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 81 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 43 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 81% |
| Coordinates | 38.1402, -79.0220 |
| Nearest City | Staunton (4 km) |
| Population Exposed | 145.0K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-06-12T20:44:00.000Z |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Madison, VA; Fairfax, VA; Loudoun, VA; Prince William, VA; City of Manassas, VA; City of Manassas Park, VA; Culpeper, VA; Fauquier, VA; King George, VA; Orange, VA; Spotsylvania, VA; Stafford, VA; City of Fredericksburg, VA and 3 more areas |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued June 12 at 4:44PM EDT until June 12 at 5:30PM EDT by NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC |
| Expires | 2026-06-12T17:30:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 6 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a19d607aac5a81052abba92d731c782bbec74e69.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.58879eed4c78e3269434a1c5f37433c50917fab0.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.98e8e6fd7e7e6ad3556074fb411efcddc2d70776.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.21a6adc4581fbc67e36a67f82e89b527460c6379.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d5d1ef72928db871b736d03c57a65a86819427dd.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.6deb73deeb4e525fbac395b3c65d5af038de402b.001.1"] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 43/100, near Staunton (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 194 scientific monitoring sources.