Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 43

Severe Weather in United States

MarshallUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 4 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 18 May 2026 at 18:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 5th strongest of the 53 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 31 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 3 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued May 18 at 1:38PM EDT until May 18 at 2:00PM EDT by NWS Northern Indiana

An estimated 171,693 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 31 March 2026

How we know

Confirmed by 3 independent sources, including NOAA.

Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 90 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)43 / 100
Our confidence90%
Coordinates41.2994, -86.3243
Nearest CityMishawaka (42 km)
Population Exposed171.7K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-05-18T17:38:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.bc8dfaf14b6021392006871778abf32d

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
70
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSevere Thunderstorm Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescMarshall, IN; St. Joseph, IN; Berrien, MI; Cass, MI; Cass, IN; Fulton, IN; Marshall, IN; Miami, IN and 2 more areas
HeadlineSevere Thunderstorm Warning issued May 18 at 1:38PM EDT until May 18 at 2:00PM EDT by NWS Northern Indiana
Expires2026-05-18T14:00:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Northern Indiana
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount5
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.bc8dfaf14b6021392006871778abf32dc48ad07a.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.6d391646e305da5e0b219c6f1bc604ecb00b81f2.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f20ee889731e67f48f967597887fe984a48c2321.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0417cd7e42bcbb41bf9cfe1ea3df5d82bb65057c.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.c867a9423a9ea3ffc94072d7c61f8a36fcd30606.001.1"]
Iem TypeSummaryM
Iem Magnitude62
Iem UnitMPH
Iem City4 NE Beverly Shores
Iem CountyLMZ745
Iem StateIN
Iem WfoLOT
Iem RemarkMichigan City CMAN station reported 54 kt gust.
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_G_41.340_-87.020_1779122400000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779122400000,"latitude":41.34,"longitude":-87.02},{"id":"iem_M_41.730_-86.930_1779122640000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779122640000,"latitude":41.73,"longitude":-86.93}]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 43/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.