Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 43

Severe Weather in United States

ElliottUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 5 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 20 May 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 3rd strongest of the 15 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 28 April 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. One more was recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued May 20 at 3:13PM EDT until May 20 at 3:45PM EDT by NWS Charleston WV

An estimated 288,649 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 28 April 2026

How we know

Confirmed by 2 independent sources, including NOAA.

Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 86 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)43 / 100
Our confidence86%
Coordinates38.1488, -83.0385
Nearest CityMeads (41 km)
Population Exposed288.6K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-05-20T19:13:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.bdf07695a40ee56855111da9fb1f161f

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
70
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSevere Thunderstorm Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescCarter, KY; Lawrence, KY; Elliott, KY; Morgan, KY; Rowan, KY
HeadlineSevere Thunderstorm Warning issued May 20 at 3:13PM EDT until May 20 at 3:45PM EDT by NWS Charleston WV
Expires2026-05-20T15:45:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Charleston WV
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount2
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.bdf07695a40ee56855111da9fb1f161f42a5f7df.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.7619326fd6579528603b3dd07f852c5b831d31a8.001.1"]
Iem TypeSummaryR
Iem Magnitude2.06
Iem UnitInch
Iem City2 SSE Carter Caves Stat
Iem CountyCarter
Iem StateKY
Iem WfoRLX
Iem RemarkCo-op observer near Olive Hill, Kentucky measured 2.06 inches of rainfall that has fallen since about 6 this morning.
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_R_38.340_-83.100_1779285600000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779285600000,"latitude":38.34,"longitude":-83.1}]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 43/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.