This alert expired on 11 July 2026 at 20:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 61 recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026 — 39 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 3 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued July 11 at 4:02PM EDT until July 11 at 4:15PM EDT by NWS Jacksonville FL
An estimated 203,432 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 16 March 2026
- July 30, 2026 · score 43 · 13.1 km
- May 25, 2026 · score 43 · 17.0 km
- July 17, 2026 · score 43 · 19.9 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 80 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 43 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 80% |
| Coordinates | 29.5953, -82.2293 |
| Nearest City | Gainesville (11 km) |
| Population Exposed | 203.4K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-07-11T20:02:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ce0537265888690d68028e9e5f4643f9 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Marion, FL; Bradford, FL; Union, FL |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued July 11 at 4:02PM EDT until July 11 at 4:15PM EDT by NWS Jacksonville FL |
| Expires | 2026-07-11T16:15:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Jacksonville FL |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 2 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ce0537265888690d68028e9e5f4643f92a4145c4.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.c0b11e3d34b643910357e63608c4b3c73e6cab6b.001.1"] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens near Gainesville?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 43/100, near Gainesville (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 187 scientific monitoring sources.