Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 37

Severe Weather near Bella Vista

BarryUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 2 hours ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 30 May 2026 at 21:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 6th strongest of the 23 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 27 April 2026. The last comparable one was on 23 May 2026. 2 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued May 30 at 4:01PM CDT until May 30 at 4:30PM CDT by NWS Little Rock AR

An estimated 213,516 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 27 April 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 37 out of 100, at 80 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)37 / 100
Our confidence80%
Coordinates36.5961, -93.9918
Nearest CityBella Vista (28 km)
Population Exposed213.5K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-05-30T21:01:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d1883a0cdb746b92064069d2599ef2d5

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
70
population
0
cascading
18
historical

Technical Details

EventSevere Thunderstorm Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescBoone, AR; Marion, AR; Newton, AR; Searcy, AR; Perry, AR; Saline, AR; Yell, AR; Barton, MO; Jasper, MO and 3 more areas
HeadlineSevere Thunderstorm Warning issued May 30 at 4:01PM CDT until May 30 at 4:30PM CDT by NWS Little Rock AR
Expires2026-05-30T16:30:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS Little Rock AR
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount6
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d1883a0cdb746b92064069d2599ef2d5e9535f54.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.c0a4af700a769c0811ad64c3c1d7a034f83e6f11.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d9a82e2e49f0b9f7b3e6728e7fd2efbe3736f938.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.67c777a0af72e272bf62d7772a7d4ac225d200a3.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e86a75640fe3238280f4a0ab60a7a276a604a87d.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f6896c66bca617b6ff5b79cf966ed66554247d04.001.1"]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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