Calamity
mediumSevere weatherCalamity Score: 52

Severe weather near Durham

GranvilleUnited StatesNOAA

This alert expired on 19 July 2026 at 22:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 18 recorded within 20 km of this point since 30 April 2026 — 4 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 11 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued July 19 at 6:18PM EDT until July 19 at 6:45PM EDT by NWS Raleigh NC

An estimated 1,396,473 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 30 April 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 52 out of 100, at 80 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Event Data

TypeSevere weather
Severitymedium
Calamity Score (ours)52 / 100
Our confidence80%
Coordinates36.2074, -78.7305
Nearest CityDurham (29 km)
Population Exposed1.4M within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-07-19T22:18:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.df60a85500093833287d82dd97bd54dc

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
100
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSevere Thunderstorm Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescFranklin, NC; Wake, NC; Beaufort, NC; Hyde, NC; Martin, NC; Tyrrell, NC; Washington, NC; Stokes, NC; Surry, NC; Patrick, VA and 1 more areas
HeadlineSevere Thunderstorm Warning issued July 19 at 6:18PM EDT until July 19 at 6:45PM EDT by NWS Raleigh NC
Expires2026-07-19T18:45:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Raleigh NC
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount4
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.df60a85500093833287d82dd97bd54dc3e2f48c8.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.244dcd409b617d0a92e7995cea897838677de281.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d7a147d9e00b04d5ddba7d27e44cf940ff9b603d.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.06b05d255c6ab33f3e0fd2e90d441a3e866942b2.001.1"]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 52/100, near Durham (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 188 scientific monitoring sources.