Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 9 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
3 other detections within 20 km in the last 24 hours, the nearest 3 km from here.
This alert expired on 12 September 2026 at 20:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 2nd strongest of the 20 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 4 April 2026. The last comparable one was on 27 August 2026.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued September 12 at 2:51PM CDT until September 12 at 3:30PM CDT by NWS Little Rock AR
An estimated 194,105 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 4 April 2026
- September 12, 2026 · score 37 · 3.3 km
- August 27, 2026 · score 37 · 18.7 km
- September 12, 2026 · score 37 · 20.0 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 37 out of 100, at 80 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v4. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 37 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 80% |
| Coordinates | 35.6686, -94.2638 |
| Nearest City | Van Buren (27 km) |
| Population Exposed | 194.1K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-09-12T19:51:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.dfc62a54da262b4d9a3867bf5a8df4b5e1b8ef72.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Boone, AR; Johnson, AR; Newton, AR; Pope, AR; Searcy, AR; Le Flore, OK; Yell, AR and 3 more areas |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued September 12 at 2:51PM CDT until September 12 at 3:30PM CDT by NWS Little Rock AR |
| Expires | 2026-09-12T15:30:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Little Rock AR |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 6 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.dfc62a54da262b4d9a3867bf5a8df4b5e1b8ef72.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.45646dec7b7b03551a8dd99cc60b2f8466207bdd.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.25ca4f024c7671439f8787d178c9c02bbe44f5a3.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.28508b3a82ef542ec6e22e71c4fb2ae48379bc8e.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a11e113ee464632ba4e198354403d3ffd9284ea4.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.867f8aed7bff0d2da50e590df6ceb4e514f3a0f3.002.1"] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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