This alert expired on 3 September 2026 at 02:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 8th strongest of the 21 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 17 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued September 2 at 9:29PM EDT until September 2 at 10:15PM EDT by NWS Buffalo NY
An estimated 28,213 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 17 March 2026
- September 3, 2026 · score 63 · 14.6 km
How we know
Confirmed by 2 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 28 out of 100, at 86 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v4. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 28 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 86% |
| Coordinates | 42.0857, -77.0894 |
| Nearest City | Elmira (23 km) |
| Population Exposed | 28.2K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-09-03T01:29:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.e07b71a24ee73e41ae6473592be80c22bec31901.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Jefferson, NY; Broome, NY; Cayuga, NY; Chemung, NY; Chenango, NY; Cortland, NY; Madison, NY; Onondaga, NY; Schuyler, NY; Steuben, NY; Tioga, NY; Tompkins, NY; Clinton, PA; Lycoming, PA and 4 more areas |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued September 2 at 9:29PM EDT until September 2 at 10:15PM EDT by NWS Buffalo NY |
| Expires | 2026-09-02T22:15:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Buffalo NY |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 8 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e07b71a24ee73e41ae6473592be80c22bec31901.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.acdb0969845b0c99e1f257aa7107ed891091dc2b.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.07043f4a8fdc5f7a20dd9e78130d38f5658a78ee.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.6f4d95fbb02945b68f8d1528090701790db4c814.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.33a314d378b8d0e40508b7206b87e68a3f1e1195.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.18220f9186a28502bc4b1df010f229ab3255bedc.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.26e990a406457a9dcab3f74c6494c5654bb8bdaa.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.127b56328564979d14c59e4427a27994774f6092.002.1"] |
| Spc ReportType | wind |
| Spc Speed | 60 |
| Spc Location | 2 S Penn Yan |
| Spc County | Yates |
| Spc State | NY |
| Spc Comments | (BGM) |
| MergedSources | [{"id":"spc_wind_42.64_-77.05_187","source":"spc","severity":"medium","severityValue":45,"timestamp":1788395760000,"latitude":42.64,"longitude":-77.05}] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens near Elmira?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 28/100, near Elmira (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.