Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCS: 22 · v1

Severe Weather in United States

CrawfordUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 4 hours ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 16 May 2026 at 00:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 3rd strongest of the 28 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 3 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued May 15 at 6:45PM CDT until May 15 at 7:30PM CDT by NWS Omaha/Valley NE

Nearby, since 16 March 2026

How we know

2 recorded sources include NOAA; independence is not established by this count.

Our own score for this event is 22 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)22 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.65/1
Coordinates42.1454, -95.4691
Nearest CitySioux City (86 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)0 within 50 km
Impact Tierminor
Timestamp2026-05-15T23:45:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f434b315e4d59913ea8e7fcbc555b2b3

Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-05-15T23:45:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-05-15T23:46:36.950Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
0
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
80
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventSevere Thunderstorm Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescSaline, NE; Fremont, IA; Mills, IA; Montgomery, IA; Page, IA; Fillmore, NE; Thayer, NE and 6 more areas
HeadlineSevere Thunderstorm Warning issued May 15 at 6:45PM CDT until May 15 at 7:30PM CDT by NWS Omaha/Valley NE
Expires2026-05-15T19:30:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS Omaha/Valley NE
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount9
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f434b315e4d59913ea8e7fcbc555b2b3ac45ae5c.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.91590a05b51398fa89a874b580f547ab0d8a51de.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.13e8ed3343c611133067892b66e531ddc32def92.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a76ac3761b40268f177424332483b7ffe6c6c6a4.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.82b118a840c518c7af4bdfb2561c3b947dd33f58.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.aacb82868d64dc6f6e0edfa8aacfeb411a12d859.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.df4ab30e13c7260558904b633d3e32a210ce8ecb.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.1df97b77674e832338e3ade5be6419b904a1f388.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.27f628920ce6b968e47b7583428cd6a78ba8db4b.001.1"]
Iem TypeSummaryH
Iem Magnitude1
Iem UnitInch
Iem City6 NNW Hornick
Iem CountyWoodbury
Iem StateIA
Iem WfoFSD
Iem RemarkHail covered the ground, with stones as big as quarters. No wind and a decent amount of rain.
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_H_42.310_-96.130_1778886000000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1778886000000,"latitude":42.31,"longitude":-96.13}]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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