Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 2 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 15 March 2026 at 23:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 2nd strongest of the 5 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 15 at 6:34PM CDT until March 15 at 6:45PM CDT by NWS St Louis MO
An estimated 49,783 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 15 March 2026
- July 11, 2026 · score 39 · 12.7 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 34 out of 100, at 77 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 34 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 77% |
| Coordinates | 34.9638, -91.5134 |
| Nearest City | Searcy (38 km) |
| Population Exposed | 49.8K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-03-15T23:34:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f8f733941b376fed9798c0926ffbdcae |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Clinton, IL; Washington, IL; Christian, IL; Macon, IL; Moultrie, IL; Shelby, IL; Jefferson, IL; Perry, IL and 19 more areas |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 15 at 6:34PM CDT until March 15 at 6:45PM CDT by NWS St Louis MO |
| Expires | 2026-03-15T18:45:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS St Louis MO |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 22 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f8f733941b376fed9798c0926ffbdcae0a2a15e4.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3cec5871f13bb393bc3395541b4fe830f224ed56.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.865d439178f389241a529196c75faf8c4b145061.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.8c9c51fb380bc8d633fef738af9c153d9d23f3e3.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f9d5b8d35e8fcd8bddb96c12d15f0def6b37e16b.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e528801b8c1b1cd5b4c9cab0f4723866478b3fea.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e83aa19f29b409f50eca8e345622b00a113bf823.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.aa20c043128a4d4898cd6a92db7431bc6b32dcbf.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.bc2a829fed337f9ca28197d157b4286c2ba28a84.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.c4dd4cdcdc3e22da105fe34635f2c177f0327c04.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.5e2a7b10003a23e78cad352a0c8951d4cb4aa625.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e814193a4a444cf5d8711f8314b59822e0725eac.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.60411bbae34af318c7c55aeaa319e4c982e9f015.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.fe822e1771e4041fda044b740395f1d26f5d625e.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e4f0eb1d35aff7b1afc6aa50ef427d4ac0b41732.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e4d52c152226ea89c5e7d890558d3f9af9cbf700.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.6afd792cf04e2fb4227c368802a45a6725a88ab5.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.70d04f50843c0227c6dcf6bf47ec92f3d5e988c1.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.53a275db94da6b7ea4c73b2ec65b74793fc7b17a.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.691c31012aead365850bd6180955c2d6b22e634e.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.40187161754ddd4a09e695e5aaf5eab2c3925dac.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.6dba8b9361305a170fa0e320ef7b6b297d1155de.001.1"] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens in this area?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 34/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.