Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 43

Severe Weather near Marshalltown

MarshallUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 5 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

One other detection within 20 km in the last 24 hours, <1 km from here.

This alert expired on 16 May 2026 at 06:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 66th strongest of the 246 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 10 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 8 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued May 15 at 11:28PM CDT until May 16 at 1:00AM CDT by NWS Omaha/Valley NE

An estimated 181,553 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 10 March 2026

How we know

Confirmed by 2 independent sources, including NOAA.

Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 84 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)43 / 100
Our confidence84%
Coordinates42.0000, -93.2000
Nearest CityMarshalltown (25 km)
Population Exposed181.6K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-05-16T04:28:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Watch_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0d4dd51bbb5fdc75f49c49d1e5a362b5

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
70
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSevere Thunderstorm Watch
UrgencyFuture
CertaintyPossible
AreaDescFremont, IA; Mills, IA; Montgomery, IA; Page, IA; Pottawattamie, IA; Cass, NE; Douglas, NE; Gage, NE; Jefferson, NE; Johnson, NE; Lancaster, NE; Nemaha, NE; Otoe, NE; Pawnee, NE; Richardson, NE; Saline, NE; Sarpy, NE; Seward, NE; Allamakee, IA; Chickasaw, IA; Clayton, IA; Fayette, IA; Floyd, IA; Winneshiek, IA; Adair, IA; Adams, IA; Audubon, IA; Black Hawk, IA; Boone, IA; Bremer, IA; Butler, IA; Calhoun, IA; Carroll, IA; Cass, IA; Clarke, IA; Crawford, IA; Dallas, IA; Franklin, IA; Greene, IA; Grundy, IA; Guthrie, IA; Hamilton, IA; Hardin, IA; Jasper, IA; Lucas, IA; Madison, IA; Mahaska, IA; Marion, IA; Marshall, IA; Monroe, IA; Polk, IA; Poweshiek, IA; Story, IA; Tama, IA; Taylor, IA; Union, IA; Wapello, IA; Warren, IA; Webster, IA; Wright, IA
HeadlineSevere Thunderstorm Watch issued May 15 at 11:28PM CDT until May 16 at 1:00AM CDT by NWS Omaha/Valley NE
Expires2026-05-16T01:00:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS Omaha/Valley NE
HasExactCoordsfalse
MergedCount3
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0d4dd51bbb5fdc75f49c49d1e5a362b55638a224.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.2aeb69f8ca561b8319547332fdff13b09ac1f893.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ac0f174c22b073dca46d15e6a8647ea073ac3757.002.1"]
Iem TypeSummaryG
Iem Magnitude64
Iem UnitMPH
Iem City3 S Iowa Falls
Iem CountyHardin
Iem StateIA
Iem WfoDMX
Iem RemarkPEAK GUST REPORTED AT IOWA FALLS AIRPORT.
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_G_42.470_-93.270_1778901000000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1778901000000,"latitude":42.47,"longitude":-93.27}]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 43/100, near Marshalltown (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.