Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCS: 43 · v1

Severe Weather near Lake Wales

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 2 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 30 July 2026 at 02:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 21st strongest of the 64 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 12 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 40 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued July 29 at 7:54PM EDT until July 29 at 10:00PM EDT by NWS Tallahassee FL

Urban PEI: 237,811 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.

Nearby, since 12 March 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)43 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.81/1
Coordinates27.7000, -81.7000
Nearest CityLake Wales (25 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)237.8K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-07-29T23:54:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Watch_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.220d9a6cf4babdd080b4a4a897b6e355

Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-07-29T23:54:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-07-30T00:04:11.220Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
70
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
80
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventSevere Thunderstorm Watch
UrgencyFuture
CertaintyPossible
AreaDescDixie, FL; Franklin, FL; Lafayette, FL; Liberty, FL; Taylor, FL; Wakulla, FL; Apalachee Bay or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach to Ochlockonee River Fl out to 20 Nm; Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River to Apalachicola FL out to 20 Nm; Coastal waters from Suwannee River to Keaton Beach out 20 NM; Coastal waters from Altamaha Sound to Fernandina Beach FL out 20 NM; Coastal waters from Fernandina Beach to St. Augustine FL out 20 NM; Coastal waters from St. Augustine to Flagler Beach FL out 20 NM and 1 more areas
HeadlineSevere Thunderstorm Watch issued July 29 at 7:54PM EDT until July 29 at 10:00PM EDT by NWS Tallahassee FL
Expires2026-07-29T22:00:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Tallahassee FL
HasExactCoordsfalse
MergedCount4
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.220d9a6cf4babdd080b4a4a897b6e3556d5882ca.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.220d9a6cf4babdd080b4a4a897b6e3556d5882ca.003.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0f3505c37eba4028348d57a834cd96c5f066ff88.003.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0f3505c37eba4028348d57a834cd96c5f066ff88.002.1"]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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