Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCS: 43 · v1

Severe Weather near Harker Heights

BellUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 9 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 11 May 2026 at 04:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 7th strongest of the 134 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 10 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 14 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued May 10 at 8:42PM CDT until May 10 at 11:00PM CDT by NWS Fort Worth TX

Urban PEI: 389,158 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.

Nearby, since 10 March 2026

How we know

9 recorded sources include NOAA; independence is not established by this count.

Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)43 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.90/1
Coordinates31.0000, -97.6000
Nearest CityHarker Heights (11 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)389.2K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-05-11T01:42:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Watch_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b740cec0d4c1bfb7b4c2fc6f29a5f2ee

Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-05-11T01:42:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-05-11T02:46:54.864Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
70
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
80
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventSevere Thunderstorm Watch
UrgencyFuture
CertaintyPossible
AreaDescBell, TX; Coryell, TX; Falls, TX; Lampasas, TX; McLennan, TX; Milam, TX; Atascosa, TX; Bandera, TX; Bastrop, TX; Bexar, TX; Blanco, TX; Burnet, TX; Caldwell, TX; Comal, TX; Edwards, TX; Fayette, TX; Frio, TX; Gillespie, TX; Gonzales, TX; Guadalupe, TX; Hays, TX; Kendall, TX; Kerr, TX; Kinney, TX; Lee, TX; Llano, TX; Maverick, TX; Medina, TX; Real, TX; Travis, TX; Uvalde, TX; Val Verde, TX; Williamson, TX; Wilson, TX; Zavala, TX
HeadlineSevere Thunderstorm Watch issued May 10 at 8:42PM CDT until May 10 at 11:00PM CDT by NWS Fort Worth TX
Expires2026-05-10T23:00:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS Fort Worth TX
HasExactCoordsfalse
MergedCount2
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b740cec0d4c1bfb7b4c2fc6f29a5f2ee2b3ff4a1.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.742538cb629d5a2d57ce202ca677c1144037a033.001.1"]
Iem TypeSummaryH
Iem Magnitude1
Iem UnitInch
Iem City1 S Mcgregor
Iem CountyMcLennan
Iem StateTX
Iem WfoFWD
Iem RemarkQuarter size hail reported on the south side of McGregor.
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_H_30.770_-97.750_1778464740000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1778464740000,"latitude":30.77,"longitude":-97.75},{"id":"iem_H_30.760_-98.220_1778464560000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1778464560000,"latitude":30.76,"longitude":-98.22},{"id":"iem_H_31.350_-97.680_1778459760000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1778459760000,"latitude":31.35,"longitude":-97.68},{"id":"iem_H_31.310_-97.630_1778460120000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1778460120000,"latitude":31.31,"longitude":-97.63},{"id":"iem_H_31.450_-97.890_1778458140000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1778458140000,"latitude":31.45,"longitude":-97.89},{"id":"iem_H_31.440_-97.680_1778459280000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1778459280000,"latitude":31.44,"longitude":-97.68},{"id":"iem_H_31.450_-97.380_1778462100000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1778462100000,"latitude":31.45,"longitude":-97.38},{"id":"iem_H_31.440_-97.380_1778461920000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1778461920000,"latitude":31.44,"longitude":-97.38}]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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