Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 9 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
2 other detections within 20 km in the last 24 hours, the nearest <1 km from here.
This alert expired on 1 October 2026 at 05:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is one of only 4 we have recorded within 20 km of this point since 10 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 30 September 2026. 3 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued September 30 at 9:07PM CDT until October 1 at 12:00AM CDT by NWS Midland/Odessa TX
Urban PEI: 389,158 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.
Nearby, since 10 March 2026
- September 19, 2026 · score 37 · 0.0 km
- September 13, 2026 · 0.0 km
- August 7, 2026 · 0.0 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 37 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 37 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.80/1 |
| Coordinates | 31.0000, -97.6000 |
| Nearest City | Harker Heights (11 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 389.2K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-10-01T02:07:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.da73037c74be6f55132eca34a640a8dceb750971.002.1 |
Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-10-01T02:07:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-10-01T02:09:15.910Z. Material modification: 2026-10-01T03:44:55.792Z.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
4 retained revisions changed source fields this page does not show; the index, severity and version stayed the same.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Watch |
| MessageId | urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.da73037c74be6f55132eca34a640a8dceb750971.002.1 |
| Urgency | Future |
| Certainty | Possible |
| AreaDesc | Borden, TX; Glasscock, TX; Howard, TX; Mitchell, TX; Reagan, TX; Scurry, TX; Terrell, TX; Callahan, TX; Coke, TX; Crockett, TX; Fisher, TX; Haskell, TX; Irion, TX; Jones, TX; Nolan, TX; Runnels, TX; Schleicher, TX; Shackelford, TX; Sterling, TX; Sutton, TX; Taylor, TX; Throckmorton, TX; Tom Green, TX |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued September 30 at 9:07PM CDT until October 1 at 12:00AM CDT by NWS Midland/Odessa TX |
| Expires | 2026-10-01T00:00:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Midland/Odessa TX |
| HasExactCoords | false |
| MergedCount | 2 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.303bdd2140089a07c0b0d6199efe8509991b4ec5.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.379f934337ed4cb9a4d956cc24f9190738a4c9c0.001.1"] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Review the area, threshold and delivery channel in your account.
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